Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.24) 1.05 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 24.8% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioBologna
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack24%53%
Defense82%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Bologna
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins67%14%38%67%43%54%
Draws17%29%23%17%29%23%
Loses17%57%38%17%29%23%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWL • Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Lazio Bologna
HATHAT
GF total12315101222
GF avg2.00.41.21.71.71.7
GA total46104711
GA avg0.70.90.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%46%77%54%
1.538%23%62%23%
2.523%8%23%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets437426
Failed to score167123

Penalties

MetricLazioBologna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLazioBologna
Wins13
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-31-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricLazioBologna
Form41%59%
Att31%69%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bologna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.62 (league 1.24), Bologna = 1.05 (league 1.13)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.2% 11.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 50 , vtd1