Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.23) 0.59 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 24.2% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 10.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliJuventus
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack29%47%
Defense82%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Juventus
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%57%69%57%33%46%
Draws17%0%8%43%33%38%
Loses0%43%23%0%33%15%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWW • Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Napoli Juventus
HATHAT
GF total1282012517
GF avg2.01.11.51.70.81.3
GA total56116612
GA avg0.80.90.80.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%69%69%
1.546%23%38%15%
2.531%0%15%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricNapoliJuventus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNapoliJuventus
Wins43
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-0—2-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricNapoliJuventus
Form48%52%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total58.0%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Napoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ 1xBet
Draw3.01 @ 1xBet
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 1.62 (league 1.23), Juventus = 0.59 (league 1.09)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 10.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1