Serie A — Italy
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.22) 2.42 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 13.4% 78.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.3%
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 3
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 5.9% 14.3% 17.3% 13.9% 8.4% 4.1%
1 2.4% 5.9% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.7%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorinoAC Milan
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack33%50%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torino AC Milan
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%71%50%62%
Draws33%43%38%14%50%31%
Loses33%43%38%14%0%8%

Form: Torino: LDWLLDWWDDDLL • AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Torino AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total661210919
GF avg1.00.90.91.41.51.5
GA total111223639
GA avg1.81.71.80.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorinoAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%92%46%
1.523%54%46%23%
2.58%31%8%0%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%15%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorinoAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets235347
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricTorinoAC Milan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTorinoAC Milan
Wins24
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-10-3
Biggest losses1-55-01-2—
Goals For2323
Goals Against5522

Model comparison

MetricTorinoAC Milan
Form21%79%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away1.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torino = 0.41 (league 1.22), AC Milan = 2.42 (league 1.12)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 5.9% 14.3% 17.3% 13.9% 8.4% 4.1%
1 2.4% 5.9% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.7%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 78.3%

vtt 38 , vtd1