Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.22) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.0% 27.6% 17.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 13.0% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.7% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaVerona
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack36%55%
Defense18%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Verona
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins0%0%0%14%0%7%
Draws33%50%43%43%43%43%
Loses67%50%57%43%57%50%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLL • Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Verona
HATHAT
GF total65118311
GF avg1.00.60.81.10.40.8
GA total11132491221
GA avg1.81.61.71.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaVerona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%57%79%
1.514%64%14%50%
2.50%21%7%14%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaVerona
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaVerona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaVerona
Wins00
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses1-33-01-24-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaVerona
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away4.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.40 (league 1.22), Verona = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 13.0% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.7% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 17.1%

vtt 21 , vtd1