Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.23) 2.14 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 18.0% 70.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.3%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 6.2% 13.3% 14.3% 10.2% 5.5% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaInter
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack100%91%
Defense27%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Inter
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins14%29%21%75%67%71%
Draws43%29%36%0%0%0%
Loses43%43%43%25%33%29%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWW • Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Genoa Inter
HATHAT
GF total41115211132
GF avg0.61.61.12.61.82.3
GA total912215813
GA avg1.31.71.50.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%93%50%
1.536%50%71%21%
2.57%14%36%14%
3.50%0%21%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets202437
Failed to score505101

Penalties

MetricGenoaInter
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGenoaInter
Wins14
Draws20
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-11-23-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGenoaInter
Form48%52%
Att52%48%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.30 @ 188Bet
Draw4.27 @ 1xBet
Away1.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.63 (league 1.23), Inter = 2.14 (league 1.09)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 6.2% 13.3% 14.3% 10.2% 5.5% 2.3%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 70.1%

Vtot 28 , Vtod1