Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.23) 1.03 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 28.3% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 10.2% 10.5% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC MilanSassuolo
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack73%82%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%57%64%43%43%43%
Draws14%43%29%14%14%14%
Loses14%0%7%43%43%43%

Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWW • Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLW

League goals

Metric AC Milan Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total10122210919
GF avg1.41.71.61.41.31.4
GA total65119817
GA avg0.90.70.81.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC MilanSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%71%71%
1.550%29%43%43%
2.514%0%21%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC MilanSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets347134
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricAC MilanSassuolo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAC MilanSassuolo
Wins42
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-22-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAC MilanSassuolo
Form65%35%
Att47%53%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.52.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 1.25 (league 1.23), Sassuolo = 1.03 (league 1.13)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 10.2% 10.5% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 30.4%

vtt 29 , vtd1