Serie A — Italy
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.51 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 42.4% 24.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 31.1% 16.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaLazio
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%36%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Lazio
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%29%21%57%14%36%
Draws43%29%36%29%29%29%
Loses43%43%43%14%57%36%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLW • Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Parma Lazio
HATHAT
GF total641013316
GF avg0.90.60.71.90.41.1
GA total107175611
GA avg1.41.01.20.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%50%50%
1.521%43%36%21%
2.50%7%21%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets134437
Failed to score347167

Penalties

MetricParmaLazio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricParmaLazio
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-12-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricParmaLazio
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lazio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.65 (league 1.24), Lazio = 0.51 (league 1.09)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 31.1% 16.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1