Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.23) 1.72 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 23.4% 60.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 8.6% 14.8% 12.8% 7.3% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.8% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseNapoli
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack40%60%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese Napoli
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%43%36%86%57%71%
Draws29%14%21%14%0%7%
Loses43%43%43%0%43%21%

Form: Udinese: DWWLLDDWLWLLWL • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Udinese Napoli
HATHAT
GF total781514822
GF avg1.01.11.12.01.11.6
GA total1210226612
GA avg1.71.41.60.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%64%
1.521%50%50%21%
2.57%29%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricUdineseNapoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricUdineseNapoli
Wins24
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-1—2-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricUdineseNapoli
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total33.2%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 0.73 (league 1.23), Napoli = 1.72 (league 1.09)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 8.6% 14.8% 12.8% 7.3% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.8% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 60.2%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1