Serie A — Italy
Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.22) 0.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 38.3% 23.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como 0 25.3% 14.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComoAC Milan
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack62%62%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Como AC Milan
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%40%47%60%56%58%
Draws44%30%37%30%44%37%
Loses0%30%16%10%0%5%

Form: Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLLWWWD • AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDD

League goals

Metric Como AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total131427161430
GF avg1.41.41.41.61.61.6
GA total49139615
GA avg0.40.90.70.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComoAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%53%95%53%
1.542%5%47%26%
2.521%5%16%0%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComoAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets549459
Failed to score156011

Penalties

MetricComoAC Milan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricComoAC Milan
Wins34
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-53-00-3
Biggest losses—4-01-2—
Goals For3533
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricComoAC Milan
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AC Milan and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away2.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Como = 0.81 (league 1.22), AC Milan = 0.57 (league 1.12)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como 0 25.3% 14.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 23.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1