Serie A — Italy
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.24) 0.57 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.0% 9.2% 3.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
12.1%
4 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.1% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterLecce
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack67%20%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Lecce
HATHAT
Played1091911819
Wins70%78%74%18%25%21%
Draws10%0%5%27%25%26%
Loses20%22%21%55%50%53%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWD • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Inter Lecce
HATHAT
GF total2616427613
GF avg2.61.82.20.60.80.7
GA total8917151227
GA avg0.81.00.91.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%53%53%68%
1.574%21%16%53%
2.532%11%0%16%
3.516%5%0%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets459336
Failed to score101639

Penalties

MetricInterLecce
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricInterLecce
Wins61
Draws01
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-34-1
Goals For5322
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricInterLecce
Form76%24%
Att77%23%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total76.3%23.8%

Advice: Winner : Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ 1xBet
Draw8.10 @ Pinnacle
Away18.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ SBO
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Unibet
No1.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 3.14 (league 1.24), Lecce = 0.57 (league 1.13)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.1% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.0% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 3.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1