Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.23) 1.08 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 21.9% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 4.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.3% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloTorino
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack100%56%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Torino
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%38%14%27%
Draws14%25%20%25%43%33%
Loses43%38%40%38%43%40%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWD • Torino: LDWLLDWWDDDLLLW

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Torino
HATHAT
GF total1011219615
GF avg1.41.41.41.10.91.0
GA total91019141226
GA avg1.31.31.31.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloTorino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%67%60%
1.547%47%27%53%
2.520%7%7%33%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloTorino
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricSassuoloTorino
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSassuoloTorino
Wins22
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-01-55-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2355

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloTorino
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sassuolo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 1xBet
Draw3.27 @ 1xBet
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.93 (league 1.23), Torino = 1.08 (league 1.09)

Torino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 4.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.3% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1