Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 19:45 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.22) 1.69 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 23.4% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.4% 8.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaInter
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack54%77%
Defense46%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Inter
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins38%25%31%75%71%73%
Draws50%38%44%0%0%0%
Loses13%38%25%25%29%27%

Form: Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWW • Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Atalanta Inter
HATHAT
GF total11920211334
GF avg1.41.11.32.61.92.3
GA total810185914
GA avg1.01.31.10.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%93%53%
1.525%19%73%20%
2.513%19%33%13%
3.56%0%20%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricAtalantaInter
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAtalantaInter
Wins24
Draws50
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-11-23-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaInter
Form43%57%
Att41%59%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total31.6%68.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away1.98 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.49 (league 1.22), Inter = 1.69 (league 1.12)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.4% 8.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 41.8%

vtt 55 , vtd1