Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.22) 0.90 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 26.3% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 9.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaSassuolo
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack54%54%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins57%38%47%38%38%38%
Draws14%38%27%13%25%19%
Loses29%25%27%50%38%44%

Form: Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWLDL • Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Bologna Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total101323101121
GF avg1.41.61.51.31.41.3
GA total5813101020
GA avg0.71.00.91.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%69%75%
1.553%20%44%44%
2.520%7%19%6%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets426134
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricBolognaSassuolo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBolognaSassuolo
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-31-00-22-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricBolognaSassuolo
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Bologna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away4.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 1.49 (league 1.22), Sassuolo = 0.90 (league 1.09)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 9.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 38 , Vtod23