Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.22) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 29.3% 41.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 11.7% 13.9% 8.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseNapoli
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack46%46%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Napoli
HATHAT
Played79167815
Wins29%33%31%86%50%67%
Draws43%33%38%14%0%7%
Loses29%33%31%0%50%27%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLD • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWL

League goals

Metric Cremonese Napoli
HATHAT
GF total991814822
GF avg1.31.01.12.01.01.5
GA total99186713
GA avg1.31.01.10.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%73%67%
1.531%25%47%20%
2.513%13%27%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricCremoneseNapoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCremoneseNapoli
Wins24
Draws31
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-1—2-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseNapoli
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total37.5%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.03 @ 1xBet
Away1.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 0.96 (league 1.22), Napoli = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 11.7% 13.9% 8.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 41.1%

Vtot 32 , Vtod13