Serie A — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.23) 0.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 35.2% 37.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 20.3% 17.9% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 12.8% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceComo
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack23%54%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Como
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins25%29%27%57%25%40%
Draws38%14%27%43%38%40%
Loses38%57%47%0%38%20%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLW • Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Lecce Como
HATHAT
GF total651111819
GF avg0.80.70.71.61.01.3
GA total811193912
GA avg1.01.61.30.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%60%60%60%
1.520%47%40%7%
2.50%13%13%7%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score437156

Penalties

MetricLecceComo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLecceComo
Wins12
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-11-5
Biggest losses0-24-1—4-0
Goals For2235
Goals Against2414

Model comparison

MetricLecceComo
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Como and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Betano
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.72 (league 1.23), Como = 0.88 (league 1.13)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 20.3% 17.9% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 12.8% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 37.1%

vtt 50 , vtd1