Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.21) 0.53 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 19.2% 8.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 8.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC MilanVerona
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack82%64%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan Verona
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins63%57%60%14%13%13%
Draws25%43%33%43%38%40%
Loses13%0%7%43%50%47%

Form: AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWWD • Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDLLWW

League goals

Metric AC Milan Verona
HATHAT
GF total1212248513
GF avg1.51.71.61.10.60.9
GA total851391322
GA avg1.00.70.91.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC MilanVerona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%53%60%80%
1.553%33%20%47%
2.513%0%7%13%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC MilanVerona
HATHAT
Clean sheets347123
Failed to score011246

Penalties

MetricAC MilanVerona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAC MilanVerona
Wins40
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-2—1-24-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricAC MilanVerona
Form61%39%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw4.99 @ 1xBet
Away9.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Milan = 1.98 (league 1.21), Verona = 0.53 (league 1.12)

Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan 0 8.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 38 , vtd1