Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 11:30 •
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.28)
0.74 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 33.1% | 26.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fiorentina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parma | 0 | 17.5% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 53% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 13% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 6% |
| Draws | 38% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 50% | 43% | 47% | 63% | 50% | 56% |
ParmaLDLDWLDDLLDWLWL
FiorentinaDDLLDLLDLLDDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Parma | Fiorentina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 73% | 69% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 19% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 6% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Parma | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.31 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.04 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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