Serie A — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 17:00 • Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.69 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 39.3% 31.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 26.2% 18.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUdineseLazio
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack33%27%
Defense33%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Udinese Lazio
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%38%38%50%25%38%
Draws25%13%19%38%25%31%
Loses38%50%44%13%50%31%

Form: Udinese: DWWLLDDWLWLLWLWL • Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Udinese Lazio
HATHAT
GF total891713417
GF avg1.01.11.11.60.51.1
GA total1215275611
GA avg1.51.91.70.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUdineseLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%50%44%
1.519%50%31%19%
2.56%31%19%6%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUdineseLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets224549
Failed to score213268

Penalties

MetricUdineseLazio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricUdineseLazio
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-12-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricUdineseLazio
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lazio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Udinese = 0.65 (league 1.24), Lazio = 0.69 (league 1.09)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Udinese 0 26.2% 18.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 13 , Vtod6