Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 19:45 •
Unipol Domus
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.28)
2.24 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.3% | 17.5% | 69.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.1%
0 - 1
11.7%
0 - 3
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| AC Milan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cagliari | 0 | 5.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 58% | 83% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 25% | 22% | 24% | 67% | 57% | 63% |
| Draws | 38% | 33% | 35% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
| Loses | 38% | 44% | 41% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
CagliariDLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDW
AC MilanLWWWWDWDDWDWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cagliari | AC Milan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 94% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 53% | 56% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 19% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cagliari | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 30.0% | 70.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.94 @ 1xBet
Away1.68 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ SBO
Under 2.51.79 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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