Serie A — Italy
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.22) 1.60 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 24.7% 45.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 5.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaCremonese
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack78%56%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Cremonese
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins13%0%6%25%33%29%
Draws25%44%35%38%33%35%
Loses63%56%59%38%33%35%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWL • Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Cremonese
HATHAT
GF total125179918
GF avg1.50.61.01.11.01.1
GA total14142811920
GA avg1.81.61.61.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaCremonese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%88%65%71%
1.518%59%29%29%
2.56%18%12%12%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaCremonese
HATHAT
Clean sheets022235
Failed to score156246

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaCremonese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaCremonese
Wins12
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—2-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-34-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaCremonese
Form30%70%
Att58%42%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h91%9%
Goals78%22%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away5.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.23 (league 1.22), Cremonese = 1.60 (league 1.13)

Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 5.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 45.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1