Serie A — Italy
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.21) 1.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 24.8% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 7.0% 11.3% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.1% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaPisa
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack67%22%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Pisa
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins11%25%18%11%0%6%
Draws33%25%29%33%63%47%
Loses56%50%53%56%38%47%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLL • Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Genoa Pisa
HATHAT
GF total5121711112
GF avg0.61.51.00.11.40.7
GA total12152771724
GA avg1.31.91.60.82.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%88%41%76%
1.529%53%29%47%
2.56%18%0%12%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets202404
Failed to score6068210

Penalties

MetricGenoaPisa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricGenoaPisa
Wins21
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-21-0—
Biggest losses0-33-10-24-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGenoaPisa
Form86%14%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total65.4%34.6%

Advice: Double chance : Genoa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ 1xBet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 1.04 (league 1.21), Pisa = 1.62 (league 1.12)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 7.0% 11.3% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.1% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 50.2%

vtt 12 , vtd1