Serie A — Italy
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.22) 0.86 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 19.4% 13.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.2% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterBologna
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Bologna
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%75%75%50%38%44%
Draws0%0%0%25%38%31%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWW • Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWLDLD

League goals

Metric Inter Bologna
HATHAT
GF total211435111324
GF avg2.61.82.21.41.61.5
GA total59146814
GA avg0.61.10.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%75%63%
1.569%19%50%19%
2.531%13%19%6%
3.519%6%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets448426
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricInterBologna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricInterBologna
Wins43
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-31-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricInterBologna
Form71%29%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ 1xBet
Draw4.98 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 2.13 (league 1.22), Bologna = 0.86 (league 1.12)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.2% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 13.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1