Serie A — Italy
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:00 • Allianz Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.21) 0.56 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.5% 15.1% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventusLecce
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack80%30%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventus Lecce
HATHAT
Played89179716
Wins63%44%53%22%29%25%
Draws38%22%29%33%14%25%
Loses0%33%18%44%57%50%

Form: Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDDWLWWW • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Juventus Lecce
HATHAT
GF total149236511
GF avg1.81.01.40.70.70.7
GA total7815111122
GA avg0.90.90.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventusLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%50%63%
1.541%18%19%50%
2.512%6%0%19%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventusLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score224538

Penalties

MetricJuventusLecce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricJuventusLecce
Wins31
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-10-1
Biggest losses—2-00-34-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricJuventusLecce
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total75.7%24.3%

Advice: Double chance : Juventus or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw5.85 @ Pinnacle
Away14.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.65 @ Unibet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventus = 2.38 (league 1.21), Lecce = 0.56 (league 1.12)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus 0 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1