Serie A — Italy
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.22) 0.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 32.4% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 16.9% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloParma
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack64%36%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Parma
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins38%38%38%22%29%25%
Draws13%25%19%33%29%31%
Loses50%38%44%44%43%44%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Parma
HATHAT
GF total1011217411
GF avg1.31.41.30.80.60.7
GA total10102011718
GA avg1.31.31.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%75%50%69%
1.544%44%19%38%
2.519%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets134235
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricSassuoloParma
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSassuoloParma
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-32-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloParma
Form36%64%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sassuolo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away4.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.06 (league 1.22), Parma = 0.71 (league 1.09)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 16.9% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2