Serie A — Italy
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.24) 0.69 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 32.8% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 17.6% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloParma
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack60%40%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Parma
HATHAT
Played89179716
Wins38%33%35%22%29%25%
Draws13%33%24%33%29%31%
Loses50%33%41%44%43%44%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLD • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Parma
HATHAT
GF total1012227411
GF avg1.31.31.30.80.60.7
GA total10112111718
GA avg1.31.21.21.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%50%69%
1.541%41%19%38%
2.518%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets134235
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricSassuoloParma
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSassuoloParma
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-32-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloParma
Form36%64%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sassuolo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away4.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.05 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.69 (league 1.13)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 17.6% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 23.7%

vtt 17 , vtd1