Serie A — Italy
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 17:30 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.22) 0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 26.2% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaAtalanta
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%33%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Atalanta
HATHAT
Played891710818
Wins50%33%41%40%25%33%
Draws25%33%29%40%38%39%
Loses25%33%29%20%38%28%

Form: Bologna: LWLWDWWDDWWWLDLDL • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Bologna Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total11142512921
GF avg1.41.61.51.21.11.2
GA total6111791019
GA avg0.81.21.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%78%72%
1.547%24%22%17%
2.518%12%11%17%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets426325
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricBolognaAtalanta
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBolognaAtalanta
Wins32
Draws25
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-33-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricBolognaAtalanta
Form18%82%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bologna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.33 @ 1xBet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 1.50 (league 1.22), Atalanta = 0.79 (league 1.11)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 15 , vtd1