Serie A — Italy
Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 17:30 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.21) 1.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 27.3% 38.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 8.6% 10.9% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseCagliari
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack15%46%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Cagliari
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%30%28%22%22%22%
Draws38%30%33%33%33%33%
Loses38%40%39%44%44%44%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLDLL • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Cremonese Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total991810919
GF avg1.10.91.01.11.01.1
GA total111021131225
GA avg1.41.01.21.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%72%67%83%
1.528%28%33%50%
2.511%11%6%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score257336

Penalties

MetricCremoneseCagliari
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCremoneseCagliari
Wins22
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-22-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseCagliari
Form36%64%
Att25%75%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cagliari

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw3.19 @ 1xBet
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 1.18 (league 1.21), Cagliari = 1.27 (league 1.10)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 8.6% 10.9% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 38.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1