Serie A — Italy
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.21) 0.43 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 20.1% 7.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
17.6%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 10.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioFiorentina
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack21%57%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%22%33%22%0%11%
Draws33%33%33%22%44%33%
Loses22%44%33%56%56%56%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDL • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Lazio Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total1351813518
GF avg1.40.61.01.40.61.0
GA total7714141428
GA avg0.80.80.81.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%67%83%
1.528%22%17%56%
2.517%6%6%17%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets549123
Failed to score369156

Penalties

MetricLazioFiorentina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricLazioFiorentina
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-1—
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricLazioFiorentina
Form50%50%
Att27%73%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ SBO
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.85 (league 1.21), Fiorentina = 0.43 (league 1.12)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 10.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 7.7%

vtt 10 , vtd1