Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.28)
0.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4% | 21.4% | 8.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Fiorentina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio | 0 | 11.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 21% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 22% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| Loses | 22% | 44% | 33% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
LazioLWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDL
FiorentinaDDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lazio | Fiorentina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 22% | 17% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lazio | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.44 @ SBO
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…