Serie A — Italy
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.21) 1.07 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 33.7% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 0
21.6%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 21.6% 23.1% 12.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.0% 10.7% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceAS Roma
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack36%45%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce AS Roma
HATHAT
Played98179918
Wins22%25%24%67%56%61%
Draws33%25%29%0%0%0%
Loses44%50%47%33%44%39%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLD • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Lecce AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total661211920
GF avg0.70.80.71.21.01.1
GA total1112235712
GA avg1.21.51.40.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%65%67%61%
1.518%47%33%6%
2.50%18%11%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score538336

Penalties

MetricLecceAS Roma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLecceAS Roma
Wins13
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-10-12-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricLecceAS Roma
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away1.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ SBO
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.46 (league 1.21), AS Roma = 1.07 (league 1.12)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 21.6% 23.1% 12.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.0% 10.7% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 11 , vtd1