Serie A — Italy
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 17:30 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.23) 0.48 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 9.9% 3.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
13.9%
4 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliVerona
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack47%40%
Defense87%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Verona
HATHAT
Played710178917
Wins86%60%71%13%11%12%
Draws14%0%6%38%33%35%
Loses0%40%24%50%56%53%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWW • Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Napoli Verona
HATHAT
GF total1412268513
GF avg2.01.21.51.00.60.8
GA total6713121628
GA avg0.90.70.81.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliVerona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%53%82%
1.553%18%18%53%
2.524%0%6%24%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliVerona
HATHAT
Clean sheets257123
Failed to score134358

Penalties

MetricNapoliVerona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNapoliVerona
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-00-34-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricNapoliVerona
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Winner : Napoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 1xBet
Draw5.01 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Betano
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.76 @ Pinnacle
No1.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 2.92 (league 1.23), Verona = 0.48 (league 1.13)

Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 3.7%

vtt 18 , vtd1