Serie A — Italy
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.22) 1.92 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 21.0% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
13.2%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 7.2% 13.7% 13.2% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaInter
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack20%80%
Defense73%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Inter
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins22%25%24%78%75%76%
Draws33%38%35%0%0%0%
Loses44%38%41%22%25%24%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWD • Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Parma Inter
HATHAT
GF total7512241438
GF avg0.80.60.72.71.82.2
GA total118196915
GA avg1.21.01.10.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%71%94%53%
1.518%35%71%18%
2.50%6%35%12%
3.50%0%18%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets235448
Failed to score448101

Penalties

MetricParmaInter
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricParmaInter
Wins14
Draws20
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-23-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricParmaInter
Form32%68%
Att20%80%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total25.0%75.0%

Advice: Winner : Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ 10Bet
Draw5.40 @ Dafabet
Away1.39 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.29 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.72 (league 1.22), Inter = 1.92 (league 1.13)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 7.2% 13.7% 13.2% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 64.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1