Serie A — Italy
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 19:45 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.22) 1.07 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 31.2% 39.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 14.3% 15.2% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloJuventus
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack64%64%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Juventus
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%56%44%50%
Draws22%33%28%44%22%33%
Loses44%33%39%0%33%17%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDD • Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDDWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Juventus
HATHAT
GF total11122315924
GF avg1.21.31.31.71.01.3
GA total1111228816
GA avg1.21.21.20.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%78%67%
1.539%39%39%17%
2.517%6%11%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricSassuoloJuventus
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSassuoloJuventus
Wins23
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-0—2-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloJuventus
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%63%
Total41.7%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juventus

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away1.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 0.88 (league 1.22), Juventus = 1.07 (league 1.13)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 14.3% 15.2% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 39.2%

vtt 16 , vtd1