Serie A — Italy
Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 17:30 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.24) 1.26 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 29.5% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 14.3% 18.1% 11.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaCagliari
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%58%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa Cagliari
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins10%22%16%22%20%21%
Draws40%33%37%33%40%37%
Loses50%44%47%44%40%42%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLLDD • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLD

League goals

Metric Genoa Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total61319101121
GF avg0.61.41.01.11.11.1
GA total131629131427
GA avg1.31.81.51.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%89%68%84%
1.526%47%37%53%
2.55%16%5%5%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score606336

Penalties

MetricGenoaCagliari
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGenoaCagliari
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-22-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricGenoaCagliari
Form29%71%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cagliari

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away4.20 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Unibet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.68 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 1.26 (league 1.13)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 14.3% 18.1% 11.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1