Serie A — Italy
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.21) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 25.4% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterNapoli
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack92%62%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Napoli
HATHAT
Played991881018
Wins78%78%78%75%60%67%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%11%
Loses22%22%22%0%40%22%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWW • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Inter Napoli
HATHAT
GF total241640161228
GF avg2.71.82.22.01.21.6
GA total69158715
GA avg0.71.00.81.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%78%61%
1.572%17%56%22%
2.533%11%22%0%
3.517%6%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets459257
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricInterNapoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricInterNapoli
Wins44
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricInterNapoli
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away5.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 1.56 (league 1.21), Napoli = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1