Inter vs Napoli - footywow

Serie A — Italy

Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Match Finished

Inter

2 - 2

Napoli

Expected Goals

1.52 (league 1.25) 0.75 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
55.2%	26.0%	18.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.8%

2 - 0

12.0%

1 - 1

11.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Napoli
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Inter	0	10.4%	7.7%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	15.8%	11.7%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.0%	8.9%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	6.1%	4.5%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Inter	Napoli
Played	5	5
Form	100%	67%
Attack	92%	62%
Defense	85%	69%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 2.4	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

65%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Inter			Napoli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	9	18	8	10	18
Wins	78%	78%	78%	75%	60%	67%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	25%	0%	11%
Loses	22%	22%	22%	0%	40%	22%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWW • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWD

League goals

Metric	Inter			Napoli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	24	16	40	16	12	28
GF avg	2.7	1.8	2.2	2.0	1.2	1.6
GA total	6	9	15	8	7	15
GA avg	0.7	1.0	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Inter		Napoli
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	94%	50%	78%	61%
1.5	72%	17%	56%	22%
2.5	33%	11%	22%	0%
3.5	17%	6%	0%	0%
4.5	6%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Inter			Napoli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	5	9	2	5	7
Failed to score	1	0	1	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Inter	Napoli
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3

Streaks

Metric	Inter	Napoli
Wins	4	4
Draws	0	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	0-2	3-1	1-3
Biggest losses	1-2	3-1	—	2-0
Goals For	5	3	3	3
Goals Against	2	4	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Inter	Napoli
Form	60%	40%
Att	60%	40%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	68%	32%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	45%	55%
Total	58.3%	41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet

Draw3.65 @ Dafabet

Away5.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle

No1.75 @ Pinnacle

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Inter vs Napoli

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Inter

Napoli

Serie A • Italy • Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Expected goals

1.52

Inter xG League Avg: 1.25

Total

2.26

0.75

Napoli xG League Avg: 1.13

1x2 probabilities

Home

55.2%

Draw

26.0%

Away

18.4%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

15.8%

Tip

2 - 0

12.0%

Tip

1 - 1

11.8%

More chances

1.5+

76%

Chance

2.5+

54%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

65%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 3

Exp.

#Inter #Napoli #SerieA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 1.52 (league 1.24), Napoli = 0.74 (league 1.13)

		Napoli
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Inter	0	10.4%	7.7%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	15.8%	11.7%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.0%	8.9%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	6.1%	4.5%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 18.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1

Metric	Inter	Napoli
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3