Serie A — Italy
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.24) 0.69 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.4% 42.2% 35.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.0%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 31.0% 21.3% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.0% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceParma
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack17%25%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Parma
HATHAT
Played1081810818
Wins20%25%22%20%25%22%
Draws30%25%28%30%38%33%
Loses50%50%50%50%38%44%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Lecce Parma
HATHAT
GF total66127512
GF avg0.60.80.70.70.60.7
GA total13122513821
GA avg1.31.51.41.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%50%72%
1.517%50%17%39%
2.50%17%0%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score639549

Penalties

MetricLecceParma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLecceParma
Wins11
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-11-32-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricLecceParma
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Parma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.02 @ 1xBet
Away3.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.48 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.69 (league 1.13)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 31.0% 21.3% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.0% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 35.4%

vtt 20 , vtd1