Serie A — Italy
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.24) 0.79 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 37.5% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.7%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verona 0 23.7% 18.8% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeronaLazio
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack58%33%
Defense17%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verona Lazio
HATHAT
Played8101810919
Wins13%10%11%40%22%32%
Draws38%40%39%40%33%37%
Loses50%50%50%20%44%32%

Form: Verona: DLDDLLDDLLDLLWWLLD • Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLD

League goals

Metric Verona Lazio
HATHAT
GF total871515520
GF avg1.00.70.81.50.61.1
GA total1218309716
GA avg1.51.81.70.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeronaLazio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%83%53%53%
1.522%56%32%26%
2.56%22%16%5%
3.50%6%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeronaLazio
HATHAT
Clean sheets123549
Failed to score358369

Penalties

MetricVeronaLazio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVeronaLazio
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricVeronaLazio
Form54%46%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h7%93%
Goals15%85%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lazio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Bet365
Draw2.98 @ 1xBet
Away2.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.49 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Verona = 0.65 (league 1.24), Lazio = 0.79 (league 1.13)

Lazio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verona 0 23.7% 18.8% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 13 , vtd1