Serie A — Italy
Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.23) 1.11 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 29.1% 35.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 11.0% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioComo
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack57%100%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Como
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%30%35%50%40%45%
Draws40%30%35%40%30%35%
Loses20%40%30%10%30%20%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDW • Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Lazio Como
HATHAT
GF total15621141428
GF avg1.50.61.11.41.41.4
GA total97167916
GA avg0.90.70.80.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%50%70%55%
1.530%25%40%10%
2.515%5%20%10%
3.55%0%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510549
Failed to score369156

Penalties

MetricLazioComo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLazioComo
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-11-5
Biggest losses0-22-01-34-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricLazioComo
Form38%63%
Att31%69%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Como

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.10 (league 1.23), Como = 1.11 (league 1.13)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 11.0% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 35.8%

vtt 11 , vtd1