Serie A — Italy
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:45 • Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.09 (league 1.21) 1.07 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.1% 34.3% 62.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
33.5%
0 - 0
31.2%
0 - 2
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 31.2% 33.5% 18.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4%
1 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPisaAtalanta
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack33%40%
Defense33%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pisa Atalanta
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins10%0%5%45%33%40%
Draws30%70%50%36%33%35%
Loses60%30%45%18%33%25%

Form: Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDLDLD • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Pisa Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total11415141125
GF avg0.11.40.81.31.21.3
GA total10203091019
GA avg1.02.01.50.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePisaAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%80%80%65%
1.530%50%30%15%
2.50%15%10%15%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPisaAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets404437
Failed to score9211314

Penalties

MetricPisaAtalanta
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPisaAtalanta
Wins12
Draws45
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-33-1
Goals For1243
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricPisaAtalanta
Form20%80%
Att45%55%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.27 @ 1xBet
Away1.63 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pisa = 0.09 (league 1.21), Atalanta = 1.07 (league 1.12)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pisa 0 31.2% 33.5% 18.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4%
1 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.1% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 62.5%

vtt 9 , vtd7