Serie A — Italy
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.23) 0.95 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 29.9% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorinoLecce
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack20%5%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torino Lecce
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins27%27%27%17%20%18%
Draws18%27%23%33%20%27%
Loses55%45%50%50%60%55%

Form: Torino: LDWLLDWWDDDLLLWWLWLLLL • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Torino Lecce
HATHAT
GF total1110217613
GF avg1.00.91.00.60.60.6
GA total202040151429
GA avg1.81.81.81.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorinoLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%45%68%
1.523%59%14%45%
2.59%27%0%14%
3.50%14%0%5%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorinoLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets358437
Failed to score3587512

Penalties

MetricTorinoLecce
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricTorinoLecce
Wins21
Draws31
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-56-00-34-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against5634

Model comparison

MetricTorinoLecce
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Torino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away4.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torino = 1.14 (league 1.23), Lecce = 0.95 (league 1.13)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torino 0 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 30.3%

vtt 11 , vtd1