Serie A — Italy
Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 17:30 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.23) 0.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 24.7% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 11.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 10.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaCremonese
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack53%12%
Defense94%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Cremonese
HATHAT
Played121123111223
Wins50%27%39%18%25%22%
Draws33%45%39%45%25%35%
Loses17%27%22%36%50%43%

Form: Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWD • Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLDLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Atalanta Cremonese
HATHAT
GF total18123011920
GF avg1.51.11.31.00.80.9
GA total91120151631
GA avg0.81.00.91.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaCremonese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%52%74%
1.530%13%26%35%
2.513%13%9%13%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaCremonese
HATHAT
Clean sheets549336
Failed to score3254711

Penalties

MetricAtalantaCremonese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAtalantaCremonese
Wins32
Draws53
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-35-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaCremonese
Form85%15%
Att82%18%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total81.2%18.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ 1xBet
Draw5.29 @ Pinnacle
Away10.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.21 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.58 (league 1.23), Cremonese = 0.56 (league 1.13)

Cremonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 11.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 10.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1