Serie A — Italy
Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.24) 0.49 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 24.5% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 12.7% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaCagliari
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack41%53%
Defense88%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Cagliari
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins64%58%61%36%25%30%
Draws9%0%4%27%33%30%
Loses27%42%35%36%42%39%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDL • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWW

League goals

Metric AS Roma Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total141327151328
GF avg1.31.11.21.41.11.2
GA total6814131831
GA avg0.50.70.61.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%57%70%78%
1.539%4%39%48%
2.59%0%9%9%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510415
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricAS RomaCagliari
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAS RomaCagliari
Wins32
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-23-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaCagliari
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals82%18%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.27 @ 1xBet
Away8.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.58 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 0.49 (league 1.13)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 12.7% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1