Serie A — Italy
Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:45 • Unipol Domus
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.23) 0.53 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 24.5% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 12.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariLecce
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack54%15%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Lecce
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins36%23%29%23%18%21%
Draws27%31%29%31%18%25%
Loses36%46%42%46%64%54%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWWL • Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLWLDLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Cagliari Lecce
HATHAT
GF total1513289615
GF avg1.41.01.20.70.50.6
GA total132033161531
GA avg1.21.51.41.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariLecce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%79%46%71%
1.538%50%17%42%
2.58%8%0%13%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariLecce
HATHAT
Clean sheets415437
Failed to score3587613

Penalties

MetricCagliariLecce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCagliariLecce
Wins31
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-34-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricCagliariLecce
Form69%31%
Att78%22%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cagliari or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw2.98 @ 1xBet
Away3.90 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 1.59 (league 1.23), Lecce = 0.53 (league 1.13)

Lecce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 12.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 12.1%

vtt 7 , vtd1