Serie A — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.23) 0.42 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.1% 15.6% 5.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como 0 7.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComoFiorentina
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack65%41%
Defense76%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Como Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played121123121224
Wins50%45%48%17%8%13%
Draws42%27%35%33%42%38%
Loses8%27%17%50%50%50%

Form: Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLLWWWDLWWD • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Como Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total201737171027
GF avg1.71.51.61.40.81.1
GA total7916191938
GA avg0.60.80.71.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComoFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%48%75%88%
1.543%9%25%58%
2.526%9%4%13%
3.59%4%4%0%
4.59%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComoFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512123
Failed to score257156

Penalties

MetricComoFiorentina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricComoFiorentina
Wins31
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-55-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-0
Goals For6552
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricComoFiorentina
Form62%38%
Att61%39%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Winner : Como

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.19 @ 1xBet
Away5.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Como = 2.21 (league 1.23), Fiorentina = 0.42 (league 1.13)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como 0 7.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.1% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 5.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1