Serie A — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.24) 0.92 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 22.8% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.8% 10.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInterJuventus
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack100%93%
Defense87%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 314 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Juventus
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins75%83%79%58%50%54%
Draws8%0%4%42%17%29%
Loses17%17%17%0%33%17%

Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWW • Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDDWLWWWDWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Inter Juventus
HATHAT
GF total332457251641
GF avg2.82.02.42.11.31.7
GA total10919101020
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInterJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%46%79%63%
1.571%21%50%17%
2.533%8%25%4%
3.521%4%13%0%
4.513%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInterJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets5813549
Failed to score101235

Penalties

MetricInterJuventus
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricInterJuventus
Wins63
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-55-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For6554
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricInterJuventus
Form60%40%
Att52%48%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter = 1.81 (league 1.24), Juventus = 0.92 (league 1.13)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter 0 6.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.8% 10.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 18.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1