Serie A — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23) 1.16 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 27.8% 34.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.2%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 9.2% 10.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioAtalanta
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack40%60%
Defense53%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Atalanta
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins42%25%33%54%27%42%
Draws33%42%38%31%45%38%
Loses25%33%29%15%27%21%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWD • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Lazio Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total18826201232
GF avg1.50.71.11.51.11.3
GA total14923101121
GA avg1.20.81.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%79%63%
1.533%33%33%13%
2.517%8%13%13%
3.54%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611549
Failed to score4711325

Penalties

MetricLazioAtalanta
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLazioAtalanta
Wins13
Draws25
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-33-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricLazioAtalanta
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.22 (league 1.23), Atalanta = 1.16 (league 1.13)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 9.2% 10.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 34.7%

vtt 22 , vtd1