Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 17:30 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.23) 1.84 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 18.9% 27.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.3% 6.0% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaPisa
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack80%50%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Pisa
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%15%16%8%0%4%
Draws33%38%36%31%67%48%
Loses50%46%48%62%33%48%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDW • Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDWDLLLDLDLDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Pisa
HATHAT
GF total17122941620
GF avg1.40.91.20.31.30.8
GA total192039162642
GA avg1.61.51.61.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%88%52%80%
1.528%56%28%52%
2.54%12%0%20%
3.54%0%0%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score1569312

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaPisa
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaPisa
Wins11
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-21-0
Biggest losses1-33-00-36-2
Goals For5212
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaPisa
Form78%22%
Att62%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total61.4%38.6%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.07 @ 1xBet
Away5.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 2.50 (league 1.23), Pisa = 1.84 (league 1.13)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.3% 6.0% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 27.4%

vtt 11 , vtd1