Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.23) 2.06 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.0% 18.0% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 3
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 7.6% 15.7% 16.2% 11.2% 5.8% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseAC Milan
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack8%58%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese AC Milan
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins17%21%19%54%62%58%
Draws50%21%35%31%38%35%
Loses33%57%46%15%0%8%

Form: Cremonese: WWDDDLDDWLLLWWLDLLDLDLLLDL • AC Milan: LWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDDWWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Cremonese AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total111021182341
GF avg0.90.70.81.41.81.6
GA total15213611920
GA avg1.31.51.40.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%73%92%58%
1.523%38%46%19%
2.58%15%19%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375611
Failed to score5813112

Penalties

MetricCremoneseAC Milan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricCremoneseAC Milan
Wins24
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-01-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseAC Milan
Form11%89%
Att13%88%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.40 @ 188Bet
Draw4.86 @ 1xBet
Away1.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 0.51 (league 1.23), AC Milan = 2.06 (league 1.13)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 7.6% 15.7% 16.2% 11.2% 5.8% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.0% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 72.1%

vtt 18 , vtd1