Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.28)
1.03 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
3 - 0
7.7%
4 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Genoa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter | 0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter | Genoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 77% | 85% | 81% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Draws | 8% | 0% | 4% | 29% | 42% | 35% |
| Loses | 15% | 15% | 15% | 43% | 42% | 42% |
InterWLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWW
GenoaDLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLLDDWDWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Inter | Genoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 26 | 62 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter | Genoa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 46% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 23% | 38% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 8% | 15% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter | Genoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 70.7% | 29.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.38 @ 1xBet
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away10.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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