Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 30.4% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 15.9% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaJuventus
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack67%92%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Juventus
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins69%54%62%54%46%50%
Draws8%8%8%38%15%27%
Loses23%38%31%8%38%23%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDW • Juventus: WWWDDDLLWWDDWLWWWDWWLWWDLL

League goals

Metric AS Roma Juventus
HATHAT
GF total191534251843
GF avg1.51.21.31.91.41.7
GA total61016121325
GA avg0.50.80.60.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaJuventus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%54%77%65%
1.546%8%50%23%
2.512%0%23%8%
3.50%0%12%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaJuventus
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512549
Failed to score347336

Penalties

MetricAS RomaJuventus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAS RomaJuventus
Wins33
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-01-4
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaJuventus
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ 1xBet
Away3.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.22 (league 1.23), Juventus = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Juventus
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 15.9% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 18.8%

vtt 33 , vtd1